Warren Buffet's advice for 2009

Click on picture to enlarge. (at least i can't read with this size ...)

Retirement planning ...

How to accumulate enough money for retirement

Personal Investing - By Ooi Kok Hwa

Wealth for retirement, How to earn 30-year investment returns with different savings amounts and rates

ON Jan 28, we have written an article on We all need to become millionaires. That article explained that we need to have cash reserves of about RM1mil to be able to maintain our current lifestyle 20 years after retirement.

Some readers responded and would like to know more on how to accumulate enough money for their retirement.

In this article, we will look into 30-year investment returns with different savings amounts and rate of returns. Our computation is based on the assumption that we start investing at the age of 25 and intend to retire at 55.

·Based on how much rate of returns you can achieve

The table shows that if we save RM100 per month and invest the money into fixed deposits (FD), assuming the FD can provide about 3% return over the next 30 years, our investment portfolio will reach RM58,274 when we reach 55.

However, if we can generate 5%, 7% and 10% returns, our investment portfolio will achieve RM83,226, RM121,997 and RM226,049 respectively.

The EPF may be able to provide us about 5% whereas unit trust investments may be able to give us 7% to 10% returns over a very long-term period.

Assuming that we treat the 3% FD return as our risk-free rate, any extra returns above this rate will be the risk premium for the additional risk that we are prepared to face.

Therefore, we need to understand our risk tolerance level before considering any type of risky investment.

We should ask ourselves whether we are willing to accept the uncertainty of return that is inherent in those investments.

Besides, we need to understand whether we can afford to have our savings tied up for a long period before we can achieve our investment targets.

·Based on how much you save and not how much you earn

We agree that when you earn more money, you should have more money for your investments. Unfortunately, some investors are unable to save even though they earn high salaries.

From the table, we can see that if we are able to save RM500 per month in FD, assuming a 3% return per annum, our investment portfolio will reach RM291,368 when we retire at age 55, five times higher than the savings of RM100 per month.

Hence, if we can cut down on our expenses and live below our means, we should have more money to save.

We should always ask ourselves whether we want to spend money on unnecessary luxury items to keep up with the Jones or be more frugal and spend less to achieve financial freedom earlier.

The question on how to generate high returns is frequently asked by readers. Unfortunately, there is no straight-forward answer to this.

We can equip ourselves with strong financial and investing knowledge which helps us in making better investment decision that will eventually translate into better returns.

To do so, we need to be interested in the economic and business activities around us.

For those who are beginning to learn about investing, you can go to any bookstore to look for investment books that you can comprehend to build up the foundation.

Remember that there is no point in buying books written by top investment gurus in the world if you cannot understand what it is trying to tell.

Once you have built up your knowledge, you should be able to digest the financial information and do your own research in investment.

Ooi Kok Hwa is an investment adviser and managing partner of MRR Consulting

Financial Psychiatrist ...

Extracted from cnbc.com

Financial Psychiatrist: Panic Means Opportunity

Posted By:Janice Dorn

Dr. Janice Dorn
Chief Global Risk Strategist
Ingenieux Wealth Management, Sydney

Our market participants need to understand this today. This is Market Psychiatry 101. People will sell in panic and in a week or less will be overtaken with regret. Also, those who are trying to pick a bottom will be hurt. The point is that the markets are constructed in such a way as to separate the most money from the most people. They are constructed to inflict the most pain on the most people. Every successful trader and investor knows this. This is why so many fail (over 90% of new traders blow out their accounts in the first year!). This is, in large part due to their inability to understand the psychology of the markets which is no more than their own psychology.

Please review the Investor Sentiment Cycle that we have discussed so many times.

We are nearing levels 10 and 11 in the diagram below. The market is behaving like a crybaby who is now asking for a Fed rate cut ( despite the fact that it will do little to help this crisis since there already has been a stealth cut … but that is for another day).

Several signals that I follow are giving buy signals on the DJIA and are close to buy signals on the S&P 500.

This is not the time to panic out of everything. When others are panicking, we are looking for opportunity.

Wait for the next rally to get rid of all underperforming assets. Pressing the short side here is not advised.

However, nothing goes straight down or straight up.

We don’t have an all-clear signal yet, but this looks as much like capitulation as I have seen in some time.

Stay the course and don’t panic. I am not calling a bottom, since I listened long ago to the great John Bollinger who said that there is one chance in a lifetime to call an exact bottom or top. I am, rather, saying that now is NOT the time to panic. Stay steady and look for opportunity.

Warren Buffett_Buy American !

THE financial world is a mess, both in the United States and abroad. Its problems, moreover, have been leaking into the general economy, and the leaks are now turning into a gusher. In the near term, unemployment will rise, business activity will falter and headlines will continue to be scary.
So ... I've been buying American stocks. This is my personal account I'm talking about, in which I previously owned nothing but United States government bonds. (This description leaves aside my Berkshire Hathaway holdings, which are all committed to philanthropy.) If prices keep looking attractive, my non-Berkshire net worth will soon be 100 percent in United States equities.

Why?

A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful. And most certainly, fear is now widespread, gripping even seasoned investors. To be sure, investors are right to be wary of highly leveraged entities or businesses in weak competitive positions. But fears regarding the long-term prosperity of the nation's many sound companies make no sense. These businesses will indeed suffer earnings hiccups, as they always have. But most major companies will be setting new profit records 5, 10 and 20 years from now.

Let me be clear on one point: I can't predict the short-term movements of the stock market. I haven't the faintest idea as to whether stocks will be higher or lower a month — or a year — from now. What is likely, however, is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up. So if you wait for the robins, spring will be over.

A little history here: During the Depression, the Dow hit its low, 41, on July 8, 1932. Economic conditions, though, kept deteriorating until Franklin D. Roosevelt took office in March 1933. By that time, the market had already advanced 30 percent. Or think back to the early days of World War II, when things were going badly for the United States in Europe and the Pacific. The market hit bottom in April 1942, well before Allied fortunes turned. Again, in the early 1980s, the time to buy stocks was when inflation raged and the economy was in the tank. In short, bad news is an investor's best friend. It lets you buy a slice of America's future at a marked-down price.

Over the long term, the stock market news will be good. In the 20th century, the United States endured two world wars and other traumatic and expensive military conflicts; the Depression; a dozen or so recessions and financial panics; oil shocks; a flu epidemic; and the resignation of a disgraced president. Yet the Dow rose from 66 to 11,497.

You might think it would have been impossible for an investor to lose money during a century marked by such an extraordinary gain. But some investors did. The hapless ones bought stocks only when they felt comfort in doing so and then proceeded to sell when the headlines made them queasy.

Today people who hold cash equivalents feel comfortable. They shouldn't. They have opted for a terrible long-term asset, one that pays virtually nothing and is certain to depreciate in value. Indeed, the policies that government will follow in its efforts to alleviate the current crisis will probably prove inflationary and therefore accelerate declines in the real value of cash accounts.

Equities will almost certainly outperform cash over the next decade, probably by a substantial degree. Those investors who cling now to cash are betting they can efficiently time their move away from it later. In waiting for the comfort of good news, they are ignoring Wayne Gretzky's advice: "I skate to where the puck is going to be, not to where it has been."

I don't like to opine on the stock market, and again I emphasize that I have no idea what the market will do in the short term. Nevertheless, I'll follow the lead of a restaurant that opened in an empty bank building and then advertised: "Put your mouth where your money was." Today my money and my mouth both say equities.

Interesting website

1. http://mycpf.cpf.gov.sg/Members/home.htm
Check out the calculators provided at the site. Quite interesting. Like compound interest calculator and etc.

2. http://www.bankinginfo.com.my/
Check out the life stages at site, useful information for finance planning.